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te purongo oranga tangata 2004
Ministry of Social Development.
In This Section
Population Size & Growth
Components Of Population Change
Distribution Of The Population
Ethnic Composition Of The Population
Age & Sex Structure Of The Population
Families With Children
Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual And Transgender Communities
Regional Comparison


The social report monitors outcomes for the New Zealand population. This section contains background information on the size and characteristics of the population to provide a context for the indicators that follow.

Population Size And Growth

New Zealand's resident population reached 4 million in April 2003 and was estimated to be 4.04 million at the end of December 2003.

During the 2003 year, the population grew by 63,000 or 1.6 percent, the same rate of growth as in 2002. These estimated growth rates were relatively high compared with most years since 1991.

Under medium population projection assumptions, the population is expected to grow by an average of 1.2 percent per year up to 2006, reflecting significant net migration gains during this period. Assuming net migration of 5,000 people per year after that, the growth rate is then expected to slow gradually to 0.6 percent per year during the decade following 2010. Such a growth rate would add around half a million people to the population by 2021.

Figure P1   Historical and projected resident population, 1981-2021
Figure P1 - Historical and projected resident population.
Source: Statistics New Zealand Note: All three projections assume medium mortality. The medium projection series assumes medium fertility and a long-term annual net migration gain of 5,000

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